End of the Season Numbers Updated

The Broncos ended the regular season strong going 13-3, here is a start to see how it happened.

Broncos defensive line pass rushing productivity
Broncos running back data including yards after contact, negative runs and long runs
Broncos wide receivers, tight ends and running backs receiving data which includes yards per target, touchdown percentage and the passer rating when targeting each player

Enjoy!

Hopefully this week I’ll get more done in terms of charting snap count trends, which stats predict the winner of games the best, and much more.

The Broncos Numbers Updated With Week 15’s Data

While it was a tough loss to the San Diego Chargers, it doesn’t stop the march of the season or the collection of data so the pages have been updated:

Broncos defensive line pass rushing productivity
Broncos running back data including yards after contact, negative runs and long runs
Broncos wide receivers, tight ends and running backs receiving data which includes yards per target, touchdown percentage and the passer rating when targeting each player

Enjoy! I’ll be reviewing more of the run game this week than normal since it’s a longer week and the longest run of the week was 6 yards. I’ll give some foreshadowing, the offensive line doesn’t look good. I’m also hoping to review the safety play as well if time permits.

Running Back Analysis 2013

*Updated With Week 17’s Data*

In the first table we break the runs into groups, negative, zero, short (runs that won’t reach a 1st down if run 3 times), average (runs that will get a 1st down if run 3 times), long, and breakaway. So for example if Moreno has 5 runs between 4-6 yards out of 20 runs, that means 20% of his runs went for that distance. This allows us to compare not just lengths but how often they were achieved, that way we can see who is the “home-run threat” or who may be the most reliable to not get negative yards.

Since WordPress does not support tables in browser, here is the link to the data.

In this second table we break how each running back does after contact. We take their yards after 1st contact and divide by it by attempts and we can see average yards after 1st contact, that way we are able to see how much of a backs yardage comes after that 1st hit. A back that doesn’t go down easily will be shown here. We next look how much of their yardage comes after contact. So let’s take a fictional Moreno, he averages 4.2 yards per carry and 2.1 of that is yards after contact per attempt, so 50% of his yards come after contact. But if we look at a fictional Montee Ball who averages 4.0 yards per carry and 1.0 yards after contact per attempt, only 25% of his yards come after contact. Finally we look at the average distance past the line of scrimmage a player is hit, using this we can see a few things like how well the offensive line is blocking as well as their speed to hit the hole if one opens. So if a backs average hit distance is 1.5 yards, he is hit on average 1.5 yards past the line of scrimmage.

Since WordPress does not support tables in browser, here is the link to the data.

If you prefer a visual view of the data, this is a link to a useful infograph.